COINTELEGRAPH · 2026-11-05 10:28 UTC

Bitcoin win rate vs. S&P 500 recovers as post-midterm history favors stocks

Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 in 50% of US trading sessions over the past 90 sessions, ending a prolonged period of underperformance where it lost more sessions than it won. Historical data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 10.7% in the three months following the seven midterm elections since 1922 where Democrats won both chambers under a Republican president. Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 stands at 0.63 on a rolling 20-day basis, having become markedly positive since August.

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