DWF · 2026-10-29 04:56 UTC

BTC is Always Higher 12 Months After a Midterm

Bitcoin has been higher 12 months after every midterm election it has experienced (2014, 2018, 2022), with gains of 25%, 45%, and 92% respectively. BTC's position in its four-year cycle matters more than election results; midterms typically occur deep in bear markets, roughly two years after a halving and one year after cycle peaks. The 2026 midterm is an outlier - arriving only 36% below the cycle peak and potentially after the June bottom at $58.5k, unlike previous midterms which arrived 67-73% below peaks.

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