COINDESK · 2026-11-15 19:30 UTC

Did prediction markets call the U.S. midterm election?: State of Crypto

Prediction markets and polls broadly matched the outcomes of the key U.S. midterm races CoinDesk tracked, with exceptions in Wisconsin's First District, Alabama's Second District and the Iowa Senate race. In Iowa, prediction markets favored Republican Ashley Hinson while polls averaged a 50/50 result, and Democrat Josh Turek won the seat. Mississippi and South Carolina Senate races drew little market or polling coverage, and both ended as upsets with Democrats Scott Colom and Annie Andrews winning.

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