COINTELEGRAPH · 2026-11-02 11:20 UTC

From Uptober to Hacktober: Are Bitcoin's seasonal patterns becoming obsolete?

Bitcoin fell 7.3% in October 2026 and roughly 4% in October 2025, defying its historical 'Uptober' reputation of 15.4% median returns. Analysts attribute the shift to institutional investment flows, economic conditions, and reduced monthly volatility (down from 14% in 2013-2016 to 9.6% since 2024) making seasonal patterns less pronounced. Bitcoin ETFs saw $515 million in net outflows in October, while some researchers argue Bitcoin now trades more like a macro asset driven by economic data than calendar seasonality.

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