COINTELEGRAPH · 2026-11-07 09:10 UTC

Suspicious prediction market activity seen before election poll release: NYT

Vanderbilt University researchers said a Polymarket user bet almost $200,000 on Oct. 31 that Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts would be re-elected, about an hour before a New York Times/Siena poll showing Ricketts leading was released. A New York Times report said it was unclear whether the user had inside information, but the user won more than $77,000 and placed similar large bets on other markets, including Kalshi. Polymarket said it spotted the trades and is investigating, while Kalshi declined comment.

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